Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Parameter Estimation And Uncertainty Quantication For An Epidemic Model, Alex Capaldi, Samuel Behrend, Benjamin Berman, Jason Smith, Justin Wright, Alun L. Lloyd

Alex Capaldi

We examine estimation of the parameters of Susceptible-Infective-Recovered (SIR) models in the context of least squares. We review the use of asymptotic statistical theory and sensitivity analysis to obtain measures of uncertainty for estimates of the model parameters and the basic reproductive number (R0 )—an epidemiologically significant parameter grouping. We find that estimates of different parameters, such as the transmission parameter and recovery rate, are correlated, with the magnitude and sign of this correlation depending on the value of R0. Situations are highlighted in which this correlation allows R0 to be estimated with greater ease than its constituent parameters. Implications …

Modeling And Mathematical Analysis Of Plant Models In Ecology, Eric A. Eager

Department of Mathematics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Population dynamics tries to explain in a simple mechanistic way the variations of the size and structure of biological populations. In this dissertation we use mathematical modeling and analysis to study the various aspects of the dynamics of plant populations and their seed banks.

In Chapter 2 we investigate the impact of structural model uncertainty by considering different nonlinear recruitment functions in an integral projection model for Cirsium canescens. We show that, while having identical equilibrium populations, these two models can elicit drastically different transient dynamics. We then derive a formula for the sensitivity of the equilibrium population to …

Phase Field Crystal Approach To The Solidification Of Ferromagnetic Materials, Niloufar Faghihi

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

The dependence of the magnetic hardness on the microstructure of magnetic solids is investigated, using a field theoretical approach, called the Magnetic Phase Field Crystal model. We constructed the free energy by extending the Phase Field Crystal (PFC) formalism and including terms to incorporate the ferromagnetic phase transition and the anisotropic magneto-elastic effects, i.e., the magnetostriction effect. Using this model we performed both analytical calculations and numerical simulations to study the coupling between the magnetic and elastic properties in ferromagnetic solids. By analytically minimizing the free energy, we calculated the equilibrium phases of the system to be liquid, non-magnetic …

On Divisibility Properties Of Some Differences Of Motzkin Numbers, Tamas Lengyel

Tamas Lengyel

We discuss divisibility properties of some differences of Motzkin numbers Mn. The main tool is the application of various congruences of high prime power moduli for binomial coefficients and Catalan numbers combined with some recurrence relevant to these combinatorial quantities and the use of infinite disjoint covering systems. We find proofs of the fact that, for different settings of a and b, more and more p-ary digits of Mapn+1+b and Mapn+b agree as n grows.

A Logistic L-Moment-Based Analog For The Tukey G-H, G, H, And H-H System Of Distributions, Todd C. Headrick, Mohan D. Pant

Mohan Dev Pant

This paper introduces a standard logistic L-moment-based system of distributions. The proposed system is an analog to the standard normal conventional moment-based Tukey g-h, g, h, and h-h system of distributions. The system also consists of four classes of distributions and is referred to as (i) asymmetric γ-κ, (ii) log-logistic γ, (iii) symmetric κ, and (iv) asymmetric κL-κR. The system can be used in a variety of settings such as simulation or modeling events—most notably when heavy-tailed distributions are of interest. A procedure is also described for simulating γ-κ, γ, κ, and κL-κR distributions with specified L-moments and L-correlations. The …

Integral-Balance Solution To The Stokes’ First Problem Of A Viscoelastic Generalized Second Grade Fluid, Jordan Hristov

Jordan Hristov

Integral balance solution employing entire domain approximation and the penetration dept concept to the Stokes’ first problem of a viscoelastic generalized second grade fluid has been developed. The solution has been performed by a parabolic profile with an unspecified exponent allowing optimization through minimization of the norm over the domain of the penetration depth. The closed form solution explicitly defines two dimensionless similarity variables and , responsible for the viscous and the elastic responses of the fluid to the step jump at the boundary. The solution was developed with three forms of the governing equation through its two dimensional forms …

Computationally Efficient Methods For Modelling Laser Wakefield Acceleration In The Blowout Regime, Benjamin M. Cowan, Serguei Y. Kalmykov, Arnaud Beck, Xavier Davoine, Kyle Bunkers, Agustin F. Lifschitz, Erik Lefebvre, David L. Bruhwiler, Bradley A. Shadwick, Donald P. Umstadter

Donald P. Umstadter

Electron self-injection and acceleration until dephasing in the blowout regime is studied for a set of initial conditions typical of recent experiments with 100-terawatt-class lasers. Two different approaches to computationally efficient, fully explicit, 3D particle-in-cell modelling are examined. First, the Cartesian code VORPAL (Nieter, C. and Cary, J. R. 2004 VORPAL: a versatile plasma simulation code. J. Comput. Phys. 196, 538) using a perfect-dispersion electromagnetic solver precisely describes the laser pulse and bubble dynamics, taking advantage of coarser resolution in the propagation direction, with a proportionally larger time step. Using third-order splines for macroparticles helps suppress the sampling noise while …

Computationally Efficient Methods For Modelling Laser Wakefield Acceleration In The Blowout Regime, Benjamin M. Cowan, Serguei Y. Kalmykov, Arnaud Beck, Xavier Davoine, Kyle Bunkers, Agustin F. Lifschitz, Erik Lefebvre, David L. Bruhwiler, Bradley A. Shadwick, Donald P. Umstadter

Serge Youri Kalmykov

Electron self-injection and acceleration until dephasing in the blowout regime is studied for a set of initial conditions typical of recent experiments with 100-terawatt-class lasers. Two different approaches to computationally efficient, fully explicit, 3D particle-in-cell modelling are examined. First, the Cartesian code VORPAL (Nieter, C. and Cary, J. R. 2004 VORPAL: a versatile plasma simulation code. J. Comput. Phys. 196, 538) using a perfect-dispersion electromagnetic solver precisely describes the laser pulse and bubble dynamics, taking advantage of coarser resolution in the propagation direction, with a proportionally larger time step. Using third-order splines for macroparticles helps suppress the sampling noise while …

Thermal Impedance At The Interface Of Contacting Bodies: 1-D Example Solved By Semi-Derivatives, Jordan Hristov

Jordan Hristov

Simple 1-D semi-infinite heat conduction problems enable to demonstrate the potential of the fractional calculus in determination of transient thermal impedances of two bodies with different initial temperatures contacting at the interface ( ) at . The approach is purely analytic and uses only semi-derivatives (half-time) and semi-integrals in the Riemann-Liouville sense. The example solved clearly reveals that the fractional calculus is more effective in calculation the thermal resistances than the entire domain solutions

Variational Iteration Method For Q-Difference Equations Of Second Order, Guo-Cheng Wu

G.C. Wu

Recently, Liu extended He's variational iteration method to strongly nonlinear q-difference equations. In this study, the iteration formula and the Lagrange multiplier are given in a more accurate way. The q-oscillation equation of second order is approximately solved to show the new Lagrange multiplier's validness.

Adaptive Randomization Designs, Jenna Colavincenzo

Statistics

Adaptive design methodologies use prior information to develop a clinical trial design. The goal of an adaptive design is to maintain the integrity and validity of the study while giving the researcher flexibility in identifying the optimal treatment. An example of an adaptive design can be seen in a basic pharmaceutical trial. There are three phases of the overall trial to compare treatments and experimenters use the information from the previous phase to make changes to the subsequent phase before it begins.

Adaptive design methods have been in practice since the 1970s, but have become increasingly complex ever since. One …

The First Integral Method To Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations, N. Taghizadeh, M. Mirzazadeh, A. S. Paghaleh

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we show the applicability of the first integral method for obtaining exact solutions of some nonlinear partial differential equations. By using this method, we found some exact solutions of the Landau-Ginburg-Higgs equation and generalized form of the nonlinear Schrödinger equation and approximate long water wave equations. The first integral method is a direct algebraic method for obtaining exact solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations. This method can be applied to nonintegrable equations as well as to integrable ones. This method is based on the theory of commutative algebra.

Two Numerical Algorithms For Solving A Partial Integro-Differential Equation With A Weakly Singular Kernel, Jeong-Mi Yoon, Shishen Xie, Volodymyr Hrynkiv

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Two numerical algorithms based on variational iteration and decomposition methods are developed to solve a linear partial integro-differential equation with a weakly singular kernel arising from viscoelasticity. In addition, analytic solution is re-derived by using the variational iteration method and decomposition method.

Applying Differential Transform Method To Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations: A Modified Approach, Marwan T. Alquran

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper proposes another use of the Differential transform method (DTM) in obtaining approximate solutions to nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). The idea here is that a PDE can be converted to an ordinary differential equation (ODE) upon using a wave variable, then applying the DTM to the resulting ODE. Three equations, namely, Benjamin-Bona-Mahony (BBM), Cahn-Hilliard equation and Gardner equation are considered in this study. The proposed method reduces the size of the numerical computations and use less rules than the usual DTM method used for multi-dimensional PDEs. The results show that this new approach gives very accurate solutions.

A Novel Algorithm To Forecast Enrollment Based On Fuzzy Time Series, Haneen T. Jasim, Abdul G. Jasim Salim, Kais I. Ibraheem

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper we propose a new method to forecast enrollments based on fuzzy time series. The proposed method belongs to the first order and time-variant methods. Historical enrollments of the University of Alabama from year 1948 to 2009 are used in this study to illustrate the forecasting process. By comparing the proposed method with other methods we will show that the proposed method has a higher accuracy rate for forecasting enrollments than the existing methods.

Distributional Properties Of Record Values Of The Ratio Of Independent Exponential And Gamma Random Variables, M. Shakil, M. Ahsanullah

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

Both exponential and gamma distributions play pivotal roles in the study of records because of their wide applicability in the modeling and analysis of life time data in various fields of applied sciences. In this paper, a distribution of record values of the ratio of independent exponential and gamma random variables is presented. The expressions for the cumulative distribution functions, moments, hazard function and Shannon entropy have been derived. The maximum likelihood, method of moments and minimum variance linear unbiased estimators of the parameters, using record values and the expressions to calculate the best linear unbiased predictor of record values, …

Mhd Mixed Convective Flow Of Viscoelastic And Viscous Fluids In A Vertical Porous Channel, R. Sivaraj, B. R. Kumar, J. Prakash

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we analyze the problem of steady, mixed convective, laminar flow of two incompressible, electrically conducting and heat absorbing immiscible fluids in a vertical porous channel filled with viscoelastic fluid in one region and viscous fluid in the other region. A uniform magnetic field is applied in the transverse direction, the fluids rise in the channel driven by thermal buoyancy forces associated with thermal radiation. The equations are modeled using the fully developed flow conditions. An exact solution is obtained for the velocity, temperature, skin friction and Nusselt number distributions. The physical interpretation to these expressions is examined …

Exact Solutions Of The Generalized Benjamin Equation And (3 + 1)- Dimensional Gkp Equation By The Extended Tanh Method, N. Taghizadeh, M. Mirzazadeh, S. R. Moosavi Noori

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, the extended tanh method is used to construct exact solutions of the generalized Benjamin and (3 + 1)-dimensional gKP equation. This method is shown to be an efficient method for obtaining exact solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations. It can be applied to nonintegrable equations as well as to integrable ones.

New Explicit Solutions For Homogeneous Kdv Equations Of Third Order By Trigonometric And Hyperbolic Function Methods, Marwan Alquran, Roba Al-Omary, Qutaibeh Katatbeh

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we study two-component evolutionary systems of the homogeneous KdV equation of the third order types (I) and (II). Trigonometric and hyperbolic function methods such as the sine-cosine method, the rational sine-cosine method, the rational sinh-cosh method, sech-csch method and rational tanh-coth method are used for analytical treatment of these systems. These methods, have the advantage of reducing the nonlinear problem to a system of algebraic equations that can be solved by computerized packages.

Geometric Programming Subject To System Of Fuzzy Relation Inequalities, Elyas Shivanian, Mahdi Keshtkar, Esmaile Khorram

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, an optimization model with geometric objective function is presented. Geometric programming is widely used; many objective functions in optimization problems can be analyzed by geometric programming. We often encounter these in resource allocation and structure optimization and technology management, etc. On the other hand, fuzzy relation equalities and inequalities are also used in many areas. We here present a geometric programming model with a monomial objective function subject to the fuzzy relation inequality constraints with maxproduct composition. Simplification operations have been given to accelerate the resolution of the problem by removing the components having no effect on …

A Mathematical Study On The Dynamics Of An Eco-Epidemiological Model In The Presence Of Delay, T. K. Kar, Prasanta K. Mondal

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In the present work a mathematical model of the prey-predator system with disease in the prey is proposed. The basic model is then modified by the introduction of time delay. The stability of the boundary and endemic equilibria are discussed. The stability and bifurcation analysis of the resulting delay differential equation model is studied and ranges of the delay inducing stability as well as the instability for the system are found. Using the normal form theory and center manifold argument, we derive the methodical formulae for determining the bifurcation direction and the stability of the bifurcating periodic solution. Some numerical …

Solving Singular Boundary Value Problems Using Daftardar-Jafari Method, H. Jafari, M. Ahmadi, S. Sadeghi

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we apply the suggested iterative method by Daftardar and Jafari hereafter called Daftardar-Jafari method for solving singular boundary value problems. In the implementation of this new method, one does not need the computation of the derivative of the so-called Adomian polynomials. The method is quite efficient and is practically well suited for use in these problems. Two illustrative examples has been presented.

Boundary Stabilization Of Torsional Vibrations Of A Solar Panel, Prasanta K. Nandi, Ganesh C. Gorain, Samarjit Kar

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we study a boundary stabilization of the torsional vibrations of a solar panel. The panel is held by a rigid hub at one end and is totally free at the other. The dynamics of the overall system leads to hybrid system of equations. It is set to a certain initial vibrations with a control torque as a stabilizer at the hub end only. Taking a non-linear damping as boundary stabilizer, a uniform exponential energy decay rate is obtained directly. Thus an explicit form of uniform stabilization of the system is achieved by means of the exponential energy …

Modeling And Analysis Of The Spread Of An Infectious Disease Cholera With Environmental Fluctuations, Manju Agarwal, Vinay Verma

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

A nonlinear delayed mathematical model with immigration for the spread of an infectious disease cholera with carriers in the environment is proposed and analyzed. It is assumed that all susceptible are affected by carrier population density. The carrier population density is assumed to follow the logistic model and grows due to conducive human population density related factors. The model is analyzed by stability theory of differential equations and computer simulation. Both the disease-free (DFE), (CFE) and endemic equilibria are found and their stability investigated. Bifurcation analyses about endemic equilibrium are also carried out analytically using the theory of differential equations. …

Commutativity Results In Non Unital Real Topological Algebras, M. Oudadess, Y. Tsertos

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

We give conditions entailing commutativity in certain non unital real topological algebras. Several other results of complex algebras are also examined for real ones.

Oscillation Of Neutral Partial Dynamic Equations, Deniz Uçar, Yaşar Bolat

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper is concerned with the oscillation of solutions of a certain more general neutral type dynamic equation. We establish within the necessary and sufficient conditions for the oscillation of its solutions.

A New Cg-Algorithm With Self-Scaling Vm-Update For Unconstraint Optimization, Abbas Y. Al-Bayati, Ivan S. Latif

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, a new combined extended Conjugate-Gradient (CG) and Variable-Metric (VM) methods is proposed for solving unconstrained large-scale numerical optimization problems. The basic idea is to choose a combination of the current gradient and some pervious search directions as a new search direction updated by Al-Bayati's SCVM-method to fit a new step-size parameter using Armijo Inexact Line Searches (ILS). This method is based on the ILS and its numerical properties are discussed using different non-linear test functions with various dimensions. The global convergence property of the new algorithm is investigated under few weak conditions. Numerical experiments show that the …

Analysing Domestic Electricity Smart Metering Data Using Self Organising Maps, Fintan Mcloughlin, Aidan Duffy, Michael Conlon

Conference Papers

This paper investigates a method of classifying domestic electricity load profiles through Self Organising Maps (SOMs). Approximately four thousand customers are divided into groups based on their electricity demand patterns. Dwelling and occupant characteristics are then investigated for each group. The results show that SOMs are an effective way of classifying customers into groups in terms of their electrical load profile and that certain dwelling and occupant characteristics are significant factors in determining which group they end up in.

Fractional Integrals And Derivatives For Sumudu Transform On Distribution Spaces, Deshna Loonker, P. K. Banerji

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

We propose, in the present paper, the investigation of the Sumudu transformation for certain distribution spaces with regard to the fractional integral and differential operators of the transform. This paper is organized in two sections, first of which gives an abriged text on fractional operators and the Sumudu transform (which is less discussed and reserached). Basic concept in analysing the investigation is initiated by the fact that the Riemann-Liouville fractional integral can be expressed as one of the appropriate forms of the Abel integral equation, which is the second section of this paper.

An Approximate Solution Of The Mathieu Fractional Equation By Using The Generalized Differential Transform Method (Gdtm), H. S. Najafi, S. R. Mirshafaei, E. A. Toroqi

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

The generalized differential transform method (GDTM) is a powerful tool for solving fractional equations. In this paper we solve the Mathieu fractional equation by this method. The approximate solutions obtained are compared with the exact solution. We also show that if both differential orders decrease, we can still have an approximate solution in the different interval of p.