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Articles 1381 - 1410 of 8513

Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Chatgpt As Metamorphosis Designer For The Future Of Artificial Intelligence (Ai): A Conceptual Investigation, Amarjit Kumar Singh (Library Assistant), Dr. Pankaj Mathur (Deputy Librarian) Mar 2023

Chatgpt As Metamorphosis Designer For The Future Of Artificial Intelligence (Ai): A Conceptual Investigation, Amarjit Kumar Singh (Library Assistant), Dr. Pankaj Mathur (Deputy Librarian)

Library Philosophy and Practice (e-journal)

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this research paper is to explore ChatGPT’s potential as an innovative designer tool for the future development of artificial intelligence. Specifically, this conceptual investigation aims to analyze ChatGPT’s capabilities as a tool for designing and developing near about human intelligent systems for futuristic used and developed in the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Also with the helps of this paper, researchers are analyzed the strengths and weaknesses of ChatGPT as a tool, and identify possible areas for improvement in its development and implementation. This investigation focused on the various features and functions of ChatGPT that …


Conversations With Chatgpt About C Programming: An Ongoing Study, James C. Davis, Yung-Hsiang Lu, George K. Thiruvathukal Mar 2023

Conversations With Chatgpt About C Programming: An Ongoing Study, James C. Davis, Yung-Hsiang Lu, George K. Thiruvathukal

Computer Science: Faculty Publications and Other Works

AI (Artificial Intelligence) Generative Models have attracted great attention in recent years. Generative models can be used to create new articles, visual arts, music composition, even computer programs from English specifications. Among all generative models, ChatGPT is becoming one of the most well-known since its public announcement in November 2022. GPT means {\it Generative Pre-trained Transformer}. ChatGPT is an online program that can interact with human users in text formats and is able to answer questions in many topics, including computer programming. Many computer programmers, including students and professionals, are considering the use of ChatGPT as an aid. The quality …


Applications Of Generative Adversarial Networks In Single Image Datasets, Dylan E. Cramer Mar 2023

Applications Of Generative Adversarial Networks In Single Image Datasets, Dylan E. Cramer

Scholarly Horizons: University of Minnesota, Morris Undergraduate Journal

One of the main difficulties faced in most generative machine learning models is how much data is required to train it, especially when collecting a large dataset is not feasible. Recently there have been breakthroughs in tackling this issue in SinGAN, with its researchers being able to train a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) on just a single image with a model that can perform many novel tasks, such as image harmonization. ConSinGAN is a model that builds upon this work by concurrently training several stages in a sequential multi-stage manner while retaining the ability to perform those novel tasks.


Deep Reinforcement Learning Based Optimization Techniques For Energy And Socioeconomic Systems, Salman Sadiq Shuvo Mar 2023

Deep Reinforcement Learning Based Optimization Techniques For Energy And Socioeconomic Systems, Salman Sadiq Shuvo

USF Tampa Graduate Theses and Dissertations

Optimization, which refers to making the best or most out of a system, is critical for an organization's strategic planning. Optimization theories and techniques aim to find the optimal solution that maximizes/minimizes the values of an objective function within a set of constraints. Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is a popular Machine Learning technique for optimization and resource allocation tasks. Unlike the supervised ML that trains on labeled data, DRL techniques require a simulated environment to capture the stochasticity of real-world complex systems. This uncertainty in future transitions makes the planning authorities doubt real-world implementation success. Furthermore, the DRL methods have …


Reducing Negative Transfer Of Random Data In Source-Free Unsupervised Domain Adaptation, Anthony Wong Mar 2023

Reducing Negative Transfer Of Random Data In Source-Free Unsupervised Domain Adaptation, Anthony Wong

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

In domain adaptation, a model trained on one dataset (source domain) is applied to a different but related dataset (target domain). The most cutting-edge method is unsupervised source-free domain adaptation (SFDA), in which source data, source labels, and target labels are not available during adaptation. This thesis explores a realistic scenario where the target dataset includes some images that are unrelated to the adaptation process. This scenario can occur from errors in data collection or processing. We provide experiments and analysis to show that current state-of-the-art (SOTA) SFDA methods suffer significant performance drops under a specific domain adaptation setup when …


Observing Human Mobility Internationally During Covid-19, Shane Allcroft, Mohammed Metwaly, Zachery Berg, Isha Ghodgaonkar, Fischer Bordwell, Xinxin Zhao, Xinglei Liu, Jiahao Xu, Subhankar Chakraborty, Vishnu Banna, Akhil Chinnakotla, Abhinav Goel, Caleb Tung, Gore Kao, Wei Zakharov, David A. Shoham, George K. Thiruvathukal, Yung-Hsiang Lu Mar 2023

Observing Human Mobility Internationally During Covid-19, Shane Allcroft, Mohammed Metwaly, Zachery Berg, Isha Ghodgaonkar, Fischer Bordwell, Xinxin Zhao, Xinglei Liu, Jiahao Xu, Subhankar Chakraborty, Vishnu Banna, Akhil Chinnakotla, Abhinav Goel, Caleb Tung, Gore Kao, Wei Zakharov, David A. Shoham, George K. Thiruvathukal, Yung-Hsiang Lu

Computer Science: Faculty Publications and Other Works

This article analyzes visual data captured from five countries and three U.S. states to evaluate the effectiveness of lockdown policies for reducing the spread of COVID-19. The main challenge is the scale: nearly six million images are analyzed to observe how people respond to the policy changes.


Solving Fjssp With A Genetic Algorithm, Michael John Srouji Mar 2023

Solving Fjssp With A Genetic Algorithm, Michael John Srouji

Computer Science and Software Engineering

The Flexible Job Shop Scheduling Problem is an NP-Hard combinatorial problem. This paper aims to find a solution to this problem using genetic algorithms, and discuss the effectiveness of this. Initially, I did exploratory work on whether neural networks would be effective or not, and found a lot of trade offs between using neural networks and chromosome sequencing. In the end, I decided to use chromosome sequencing over neural networks, due to the scope of my problem being on a small scale rather than on a large scale.

Therefore, the genetic algorithm was implemented using chromosome sequencing. My chromosomes were …


Predicting Success Of Pilot Training Candidates Using Interpretable Machine Learning, Alexandra S. King Mar 2023

Predicting Success Of Pilot Training Candidates Using Interpretable Machine Learning, Alexandra S. King

Theses and Dissertations

The United States Air Force (USAF) has struggled with a sustained pilot shortage over the past several years; senior military and government leaders have been working towards a solution to the problem, with no noticeable improvements. Both attrition of more experienced pilots as well as wash out rates within pilot training contribute to this issue. This research focuses on pilot training attrition. Improving the process for selecting pilot candidates can reduce the number of candidates who fail. This research uses historical specialized undergraduate pilot training (SUPT) data and leverages select machine learning techniques to determine which factors are associated with …


Hierarchical Federated Learning On Healthcare Data: An Application To Parkinson's Disease, Brandon J. Harvill Mar 2023

Hierarchical Federated Learning On Healthcare Data: An Application To Parkinson's Disease, Brandon J. Harvill

Theses and Dissertations

Federated learning (FL) is a budding machine learning (ML) technique that seeks to keep sensitive data private, while overcoming the difficulties of Big Data. Specifically, FL trains machine learning models over a distributed network of devices, while keeping the data local to each device. We apply FL to a Parkinson’s Disease (PD) telemonitoring dataset where physiological data is gathered from various modalities to determine the PD severity level in patients. We seek to optimally combine the information across multiple modalities to assess the accuracy of our FL approach, and compare to traditional ”centralized” statistical and deep learning models.


The Use Of Artificial Intelligence To Detect Students Sentiments And Emotions In Gross Anatomy Reflections, Krzysztof J. Rechowicz, Carrie A. Elzie Mar 2023

The Use Of Artificial Intelligence To Detect Students Sentiments And Emotions In Gross Anatomy Reflections, Krzysztof J. Rechowicz, Carrie A. Elzie

VMASC Publications

Students' reflective writings in gross anatomy provide a rich source of complex emotions experienced by learners. However, qualitative approaches to evaluating student writings are resource heavy and timely. To overcome this, natural language processing, a nascent field of artificial intelligence that uses computational techniques for the analysis and synthesis of text, was used to compare health professional students' reflections on the importance of various regions of the body to their own lives and those of the anatomical donor dissected. A total of 1365 anonymous writings (677 about a donor, 688 about self) were collected from 132 students. Binary and trinary …


Of Inventorship And Patent Ownership: Examining The Intersection Between Artificial Intelligence And Patent Law, Cheng Lim Saw, Zheng Wen Samuel Chan Mar 2023

Of Inventorship And Patent Ownership: Examining The Intersection Between Artificial Intelligence And Patent Law, Cheng Lim Saw, Zheng Wen Samuel Chan

Research Collection Yong Pung How School Of Law

Artificial intelligence (“AI”) has garnered much attention in recent years, with capabilities spanning the operation of self-driving cars to the emulation of the great artistic masters of old. The field has now been ostensibly enlarged in light of the professed abilities of AI machines to autonomously generate patentable inventions. This article examines the present state of AI technology and the suitability of existing patent law frameworks in accommodating it. Looking ahead, the authors also offer two recommendations in a bid to anticipate and resolve the challenges that future developments in AI technology might pose to patent law. In particular, the …


Automated Registration Of Titanium Metal Imaging Of Aircraft Components Using Deep Learning Techniques, Nathan A. Johnston Mar 2023

Automated Registration Of Titanium Metal Imaging Of Aircraft Components Using Deep Learning Techniques, Nathan A. Johnston

Theses and Dissertations

Studies have shown a connection between early catastrophic engine failures with microtexture regions (MTRs) of a specific size and orientation on the titanium metal engine components. The MTRs can be identified through the use of Electron Backscatter Diffraction (EBSD) however doing so is costly and requires destruction of the metal component being tested. A new methodology of characterizing MTRs is needed to properly evaluate the reliability of engine components on live aircraft. The Air Force Research Lab Materials Directorate (AFRL/RX) proposed a solution of supplementing EBSD with two non-destructive modalities, Eddy Current Testing (ECT) and Scanning Acoustic Microscopy (SAM). Doing …


A Reinforcement Learning Approach To A Beyond Visual Range Air Combat Maneuvering Problem, Caleb A. Taylor Mar 2023

A Reinforcement Learning Approach To A Beyond Visual Range Air Combat Maneuvering Problem, Caleb A. Taylor

Theses and Dissertations

A one-versus-one air combat maneuvering problem is considered wherein a friendly autonomous aircraft must engage and defeat an adversary autonomous aircraft in a beyond visual range environment. The Advanced Framework for Simulation, Integration, and Modeling (AFSIM) is leveraged to model the complex and interdependent operations of aircraft, sensors, and weapons utilized in beyond visual range air combat. We formulate a Markov decision process to obtain high-quality decision policies wherein our autonomous aircraft makes maneuvering and missile firing decisions. We utilize a reinforcement learning solution procedure that implements a linear value function approximation to represent state-decision pairs due to the high …


The Vehicle Routing Problem With Simultaneous Pickup And Delivery And Occasional Drivers, Vincent F. Yu, Grace Aloina, Panca Jodiawan, Aldy Gunawan, Tsung-C. Huang Mar 2023

The Vehicle Routing Problem With Simultaneous Pickup And Delivery And Occasional Drivers, Vincent F. Yu, Grace Aloina, Panca Jodiawan, Aldy Gunawan, Tsung-C. Huang

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

This research addresses the Vehicle Routing Problem with Simultaneous Pickup and Delivery and Occasional Drivers (VRPSPDOD), which is inspired from the importance of addressing product returns and the emerging notion of involving available crowds to perform pickup and delivery activities in exchange for some compensation. At the depot, a set of regular vehicles is available to deliver and/or pick up customers’ goods. A set of occasional drivers, each defined by their origin, destination, and flexibility, is also able to help serve the customers. The objective of VRPSPDOD is to minimize the total traveling cost of operating regular vehicles and total …


Design, Development, And Evaluation Of An Interactive Personalized Social Robot To Monitor And Coach Post-Stroke Rehabilitation Exercises, Min Hun Lee, Daniel P. Siewiorek, Asim Smailagic, Alexandre Bernardino, Sergi Bermudez I Badia Mar 2023

Design, Development, And Evaluation Of An Interactive Personalized Social Robot To Monitor And Coach Post-Stroke Rehabilitation Exercises, Min Hun Lee, Daniel P. Siewiorek, Asim Smailagic, Alexandre Bernardino, Sergi Bermudez I Badia

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Socially assistive robots are increasingly being explored to improve the engagement of older adults and people with disability in health and well-being-related exercises. However, even if people have various physical conditions, most prior work on social robot exercise coaching systems has utilized generic, predefined feedback. The deployment of these systems still remains a challenge. In this paper, we present our work of iteratively engaging therapists and post-stroke survivors to design, develop, and evaluate a social robot exercise coaching system for personalized rehabilitation. Through interviews with therapists, we designed how this system interacts with the user and then developed an interactive …


Proactive Conversational Agents, Lizi Liao, Grace Hui Yang, Chirag Shah Mar 2023

Proactive Conversational Agents, Lizi Liao, Grace Hui Yang, Chirag Shah

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Conversational agents, or commonly known as dialogue systems, have gained escalating popularity in recent years. Their widespread applications support conversational interactions with users and accomplishing various tasks as personal assistants. However, one key weakness in existing conversational agents is that they only learn to passively answer user queries via training on pre-collected and manually-labeled data. Such passiveness makes the interaction modeling and system-building process relatively easier, but it largely hinders the possibility of being human-like hence lowering the user engagement level. In this tutorial, we introduce and discuss methods to equip conversational agents with the ability to interact with end …


Prudex-Compass: Towards Systematic Evaluation Of Reinforcement Learning In Financial Markets, Shuo Sun, Molei Qin, Xinrun Wang, Bo An Mar 2023

Prudex-Compass: Towards Systematic Evaluation Of Reinforcement Learning In Financial Markets, Shuo Sun, Molei Qin, Xinrun Wang, Bo An

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

The financial markets, which involve more than $90 trillion market capitals, attract the attention of innumerable investors around the world. Recently, reinforcement learning in financial markets (FinRL) has emerged as a promising direction to train agents for making profitable investment decisions. However, the evaluation of most FinRL methods only focuses on profit-related measures and ignores many critical axes, which are far from satisfactory for financial practitioners to deploy these methods into real-world financial markets. Therefore, we introduce PRUDEX-Compass, which has 6 axes, i.e., Profitability, Risk-control, Universality, Diversity, rEliability, and eXplainability, with a total of 17 measures for a systematic evaluation. …


Strategic Action Execution Through Regret Matching In Press Diplomacy, Leif D. White Mar 2023

Strategic Action Execution Through Regret Matching In Press Diplomacy, Leif D. White

Theses and Dissertations

To take most advantage of collaboration, negotiation is paramount to succeed in press Diplomacy. Humans use this construct to work towards self victory or sometimes towards an alternative strategic objective undefined in the game’s rules. To emulate this behavior, this thesis examines how to use communication to enable the victory or defeat of any other player in the game. This research develops a press Diplomacy agent, Lyre, that can work to attain these specific objectives in Diplomacy through the regret matching algorithm (RM). We also study how Lyre can begin Diplomacy with the goal to win, then shift strategies to …


Design, Determination, And Evaluation Of Gender-Based Bias Mitigation Techniques For Music Recommender Systems, Sunny Shrestha Mar 2023

Design, Determination, And Evaluation Of Gender-Based Bias Mitigation Techniques For Music Recommender Systems, Sunny Shrestha

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

The majority of smartphone users engage with a recommender system on a daily basis. Many rely on these recommendations to make their next purchase, download the next game, listen to the new music or find the next healthcare provider. Although there are plenty of evidence backed research that demonstrates presence of gender bias in Machine Learning (ML) models like recommender systems, the issue is viewed as a frivolous cause that doesn’t merit much action. However, gender bias poses to effect more than half of the population as by default ML systems are designed to cater to a cisgender man. This …


Reference Frames In Human Sensory, Motor, And Cognitive Processing, Dongcheng He Mar 2023

Reference Frames In Human Sensory, Motor, And Cognitive Processing, Dongcheng He

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Reference-frames, or coordinate systems, are used to express properties and relationships of objects in the environment. While the use of reference-frames is well understood in physical sciences, how the brain uses reference-frames remains a fundamental question. The goal of this dissertation is to reach a better understanding of reference-frames in human perceptual, motor, and cognitive processing. In the first project, we study reference-frames in perception and develop a model to explain the transition from egocentric (based on the observer) to exocentric (based outside the observer) reference-frames to account for the perception of relative motion. In a second project, we focus …


Topic Recommendation For Github Repositories: How Far Can Extreme Multi-Label Learning Go?, Ratnadira Widyasari, Zhipeng Zhao, Thanh Le Cong, Hong Jin Kang, David Lo Mar 2023

Topic Recommendation For Github Repositories: How Far Can Extreme Multi-Label Learning Go?, Ratnadira Widyasari, Zhipeng Zhao, Thanh Le Cong, Hong Jin Kang, David Lo

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

GitHub is one of the most popular platforms forversion control and collaboration. In GitHub, developers are ableto assign related topics to their repositories, which is helpfulfor finding similar repositories. The topics that are assigned torepositories are varied and provide salient descriptions of therepository; some topics describe the technology employed in aproject, while others describe functionality of the project, itsgoals, and its features. Topics are part of the metadata of arepository and are useful for the organization and discoverabilityof the repository. However, the number of topics is large andthis makes it challenging to assign a relevant set of topics to arepository. …


Modeling Daily Fantasy Basketball, Martin Jiang Mar 2023

Modeling Daily Fantasy Basketball, Martin Jiang

Master's Theses

Daily fantasy basketball presents interesting problems to researchers due to the extensive amounts of data that needs to be explored when trying to predict player performance. A large amount of this data can be noisy due to the variance within the sport of basketball. Because of this, a high degree of skill is required to consistently win in daily fantasy basketball contests. On any given day, users are challenged to predict how players will perform and create a lineup of the eight best players under fixed salary and positional requirements. In this thesis, we present a tool to assist daily …


A Review On Learning To Solve Combinatorial Optimisation Problems In Manufacturing, Cong Zhang, Yaoxin Wu, Yining Ma, Wen Song, Zhang Le, Zhiguang Cao, Jie Zhang Mar 2023

A Review On Learning To Solve Combinatorial Optimisation Problems In Manufacturing, Cong Zhang, Yaoxin Wu, Yining Ma, Wen Song, Zhang Le, Zhiguang Cao, Jie Zhang

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

An efficient manufacturing system is key to maintaining a healthy economy today. With the rapid development of science and technology and the progress of human society, the modern manufacturing system is becoming increasingly complex, posing new challenges to both academia and industry. Ever since the beginning of industrialisation, leaps in manufacturing technology have always accompanied technological breakthroughs from other fields, for example, mechanics, physics, and computational science. Recently, machine learning (ML) technology, one of the crucial subjects of artificial intelligence, has made remarkable progress in many areas. This study thoroughly reviews how ML, specifically deep (reinforcement) learning, motivates new ideas …


Learning And Understanding User Interface Semantics From Heterogeneous Networks With Multimodal And Positional Attributes, Meng Kiat Gary Ang, Ee-Peng Lim Mar 2023

Learning And Understanding User Interface Semantics From Heterogeneous Networks With Multimodal And Positional Attributes, Meng Kiat Gary Ang, Ee-Peng Lim

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

User interfaces (UI) of desktop, web, and mobile applications involve a hierarchy of objects (e.g., applications, screens, view class, and other types of design objects) with multimodal (e.g., textual and visual) and positional (e.g., spatial location, sequence order, and hierarchy level) attributes. We can therefore represent a set of application UIs as a heterogeneous network with multimodal and positional attributes. Such a network not only represents how users understand the visual layout of UIs but also influences how users would interact with applications through these UIs. To model the UI semantics well for different UI annotation, search, and evaluation tasks, …


Wifi-Based Human Activity Recognition Using Attention-Based Bilstm, Amany Elkelany, Robert J. Ross, Susan Mckeever Feb 2023

Wifi-Based Human Activity Recognition Using Attention-Based Bilstm, Amany Elkelany, Robert J. Ross, Susan Mckeever

Conference papers

Recently, significant efforts have been made to explore human activity recognition (HAR) techniques that use information gathered by existing indoor wireless infrastructures through WiFi signals without demanding the monitored subject to carry a dedicated device. The key intuition is that different activities introduce different multi-paths in WiFi signals and generate different patterns in the time series of channel state information (CSI). In this paper, we propose and evaluate a full pipeline for a CSI-based human activity recognition framework for 12 activities in three different spatial environments using two deep learning models: ABiLSTM and CNN-ABiLSTM. Evaluation experiments have demonstrated that the …


Generative Ai As A Tool For Environmental Health Research Translation, Lauren B. Anderson, Dhiraj Kanneganti, Mary Bentley Houk, Rochelle H. Holm, Ted Smith Feb 2023

Generative Ai As A Tool For Environmental Health Research Translation, Lauren B. Anderson, Dhiraj Kanneganti, Mary Bentley Houk, Rochelle H. Holm, Ted Smith

Faculty and Staff Scholarship

One valuable application for generative artificial intelligence (AI) is summarizing research studies for non-academic readers. We submitted five articles to Chat Generative Pre-trained Transformer (ChatGPT) for summarization, and asked the article's author to rate the summaries. Higher ratings were assigned to more insight-oriented activities, such as the production of eighth-grade reading level summaries, and summaries highlighting the most important findings and real-world applications. The general summary request was rated lower. For the field of environmental health science, no-cost AI technology such as ChatGPT holds the promise to improve research translation, but it must continue to be improved (or improve itself) …


Attention-Based Multi-Source-Free Domain Adaptation For Eeg Emotion Recognition, Amir Hesam Salimnia Feb 2023

Attention-Based Multi-Source-Free Domain Adaptation For Eeg Emotion Recognition, Amir Hesam Salimnia

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Electroencephalography (EEG) based emotion recognition in affective brain-computer interfaces has advanced significantly in recent years. Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) methods have been successfully used to mitigate the need for large amounts of training data, which is required due to the inter-subject variability of EEG signals. Typical UDA solutions require access to raw source data to leverage the knowledge learned from the labelled source domains (previous subjects) across the target domain (a new subject), raising privacy concerns. To tackle this issue, we propose Attention-based Multi-Source-Free Domain Adaptation (AMFDA) for EEG emotion recognition. AMFDA attempts to transfer knowledge of source models to …


Computation Offloading Strategy Based On Stackelberg Game And Drl, Xianwei Zhou, Qixu Gong, Songsen Yu Feb 2023

Computation Offloading Strategy Based On Stackelberg Game And Drl, Xianwei Zhou, Qixu Gong, Songsen Yu

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To achieve the optimal computation offloading strategy for two kinds of MEC users in 5G hybrid private network, Stackelberg game is used to build the model of the competition for MEC server resources of two kinds of users, andthe strategies of complete information game and partially incomplete information game are researched respectively. It is proved that there is only one Nash equilibrium solution in the complete information scenario. In the incomplete information scenario, the environment is modeled as POMDP, and a two-stage deep reinforcement learning(TSDRL) is proposed to obtain the optimal computation offloading strategy. Simulation results show the proposed …


Research On Real-Time Gesture Classification Algorithm Based On Imu And Semg Mixed Signals, Tao Wang, Yingnian Wu, Rui Yang, Yueying Sun Feb 2023

Research On Real-Time Gesture Classification Algorithm Based On Imu And Semg Mixed Signals, Tao Wang, Yingnian Wu, Rui Yang, Yueying Sun

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to improve the gesture classification accuracy of surface electromyography (sEMG), the mixed signal of attitude and sEMG is collected by inertial measurement unit (IMU) and EMG sensor, and a GRU-BiLSTM double-layer network real-time gesture classification algorithm is proposed. The first layer of gated recurrent unit (GRU) detects the mutation point of the initial mixed signal though energy combination operator feature and locates the starting point of the dynamic data. The second layer Bi-directional long short term memory (BiLSTM) classifies the motion state mixed signal into 10 gestures in two directions though energy kernel phase map feature. …


Demand Forecasting Method Of Emergency Materials Based On Metabolic Gray Markov, Long Ma, Baodong Qin, Na Lu, Meng Kou Feb 2023

Demand Forecasting Method Of Emergency Materials Based On Metabolic Gray Markov, Long Ma, Baodong Qin, Na Lu, Meng Kou

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the demand for emergency materials of people affected by the disaster, a forecasting method based on metabolism-gray Markov's is proposed. To realize the dynamic prediction of the number of people affected by the disaster, according to demand forecast ideas, the prediction model of metabolism-gray Markov fused is constructed progressively through gray, Markov and metabolism theories. A flexible demand forecasting model for emergency supplies is built through safety stock theory to complete the balance of supply and demand between people number and the materials demand. The prediction results of different …