Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Football Betting And The Efficient Market Hypothesis, Ravija Badarinathi, Ladd Kochman

Ladd Kochman

Three betting rules which had been nonrandomly profitable in both their initial application to the 1969-74 National Football League seasons and their replication during the years of 1975-81 were applied to all NFL games played between September 1984 and January 1994. One rule proved to be nonrandom and profitable for a third consecutive trial--a feat suggesting that bettors may be able to "beat the bookie" and, more broadly, that prices in competitive markets may not discount all available information in swift fashion.

The Gambler's Fallacy: A Test Of Football-Betting Market Efficiency, Ladd Kochman, Ravija Badarinathi

Ladd Kochman

Imaginary wagers placed on college football teams during the 2006-2010 seasons that were expected to beat the point spread following two games in which they lost both on the field and against the spread produced a wins-to-bets ratio that was statistically nonrandom but not profitable. However, when that rule was limited to the major conference schools, a significantly profitable W/B ratio emerged that challenges the efficiency of a competitive market.

Dogs No Longer Man's Best Friend: A Test Of Football Market Efficiency, Ladd Kochman

Ladd Kochman

The outcomes of wagers on underdogs in the National Football League for the 2003-2007 seasons indicated that what had been anomalous behavior no longer existed. The failure of underdogs to beat the spread in profitable or nonrandom fashion supports the argument that competitive markets are efficient and undermines the proposition that behavioral finance can illuminate exploitable betting patterns.

Revisiting The Streaking Teams Phenomenom: A Note, Ladd Kochman, Randy Goodwin

Ladd Kochman

In an effort to learn if systematic misperceptions by market participants can undermine efficient prices and create regular profit opportunities, Camerer (1989) and Brown and Sauer (1993) investigated whether participants in the basketball-betting market overbet streaking (or "hot") teams. The purpose of this note is determine whether streaking teams - both hot and cold-in college football alter point spreads to an exploitable degree. The pointwise outcomes of college football teams following 2-, 3-, 4-, 5-, 6-, 7-, 8-, and 9-game streaks during the 1996-2000 seasons. Streaks in the aggregate produced only breakeven results when used to predict the outcomes of …

The Efficiency Of The College Football Betting Market For Southeastern Conference Teams, Ravija Badarinathi, Ladd Kochman

Ladd Kochman

To illustrate economic testing and at the same time to conduct an inquiry into the efficiency of the college football betting market, an analysis applies all the betting rules reported by Stark (1992) to the 10 teams comprising the Southeastern Conference before the recent addition of the universities of Arkansas and South Carolina. The combination of 10 teams and 7 conditions produces a total of 70 betting strategies. Since each rule to bet for a team is shadowed by the alternative of betting against that team, the actual number of rules tested is 140. Among those 140 rules, only 7 …

Baseball Attendance And Outcome Uncertainty: A Note, Ladd Kochman, Ravija Badarinathi

Ladd Kochman

Recent claims that spiraling players' salaries doom the demand for Major League Baseball (MLB) make studies like Knowles et al. (1992) especially timely and useful. By following the lead of past writers--most notably Quirk and El Hodiri (1974)--Knowles et al. proxied the demand for MLB with game attendance and (like Quirk and El Hodiri) reported that attendance is maximized when the home team is slightly favored.

U.S. Drought Monitor, July 14, 2015, David Simeral

United States Agricultural Commodities in Drought Archive

Drought map of U.S. for July 14, 2015 (7/14/15) plus: U.S. crop areas experiencing drought (map), Approximate percentage of crop located in drought, by state (bar graph), Percent of crop area located in drought, past 52 weeks (line graph) for: Corn, Soybeans, Hay, Cattle, Winter wheat.

Nanomechanics Of Flexoelectric Switching, J. Očenášek, Haidong Lu, C. W. Bark, Chang-Beom Eom, J. Alcalá, G. Catalan, Alexei Gruverman

Materials Research Science and Engineering Center: Faculty Publications

We examine the phenomenon of flexoelectric switching of polarization in ultrathin films of barium titanate induced by a tip of an atomic force microscope (AFM). The spatial distribution of the tip-induced flexoelectricity is computationally modeled both for perpendicular mechanical load (point measurements) and for sliding load (scanning measurements), and compared with experiments. We find that (i) perpendicular load does not lead to stable ferroelectric switching in contrast to the load applied in the sliding contact load regime, due to nontrivial differences between the strain distributions in both regimes: ferroelectric switching for the perpendicular load mode is impaired by a strain …

Using Peptides To Examine The Interaction Interface Between Aspartate Transcarbamoylase And Dihydroorotase In Pyrimidine Biosynthesis In Aquifex Aeolicus, Nouf Alyami

Master's Theses and Doctoral Dissertations

Aspartate transcarbamoylase (ATCase) and Dihydroorotase (DHOase) catalyze the second and third steps, respectively, in de novo pyrimidine biosynthesis. Both enzymes form an active complex (DAC) in Aquifex aeolicus, where loop A of DHOase interacts with a domain of ATCase. The main objective of this work is to determine the function of specific residues of loop A in DAC interactions and to alter the catalytic activities through disruption of the interface between the two enzymes from A. aeolicus. The ATCase and DHOase domains have been expressed in Escherichia coli and purified using affinity chromatography. The interface of the published …

Dft Analysis Into The Intermediates Of Nickel Pyridenthiolate Catalysed Proton Reduction, Carolyn N. Virca, Theresa M. Mccormick

Chemistry Faculty Publications and Presentations

Nickel pyridine 2-thiolate (Ni(PyS)₃ −) has shown good stability and activity as a H₂ generation catalyst for use in solar energy storage. The experimentally proposed catalytic pathway is explored using DFT calculations. Free energy changes along the reaction coordinate, spin states, localization of charge and geometry of the intermediates were explored. Calculations were performed using Gaussian 09 with a B3P86/ 6-31+G(d) basis set and a CPCM water solvation model. Of particular interest were our findings that the first reduction occurs at the nickel rather than through non-innocent ligands and that water coordination is not favourable although protonation of …

Review: Nevanlinna-Pick Spaces With Hyponormal Multiplication Operators, Stephan Ramon Garcia

Pomona Faculty Publications and Research

No abstract provided.

Particle Dynamics In The Rising Plume At Piccard Hydrothermal Field, Mid-Cayman Rise, Margaret L. Estapa, John A. Breier, Chris R. German

School of Earth, Environmental, and Marine Sciences Faculty Publications and Presentations

Processes active in rising hydrothermal plumes, such as precipitation, particle aggregation, and biological growth, affect particle size distributions and can exert important influences on the biogeochemical impact of submarine venting of iron to the oceans and their sediments. However, observations to date of particle size distribution within these systems are both limited and conflicting. In a novel buoyant hydrothermal plume study at the recently discovered high-temperature (3988C) Piccard Hydrothermal Field, Mid- Cayman Rise, we report optical measurements of particle size distributions (PSDs). We describe the plume PSD in terms of a simple, power-law model commonly used in studies of upper …

Mathematician's Apology, Tom Clark

Faculty Work Comprehensive List

"Better standards may help all math teachers to shape our classes to better reflect the creativity and play at the heart of mathematics."

Posting about ways to improve math's negative image­­­­­­­­ from In All Things - an online hub committed to the claim that the life, death, and resurrection of Jesus Christ has implications for the entire world.

http://inallthings.org/a-mathematicians-apology/

Tame Filling Functions And Closure Properties, Anisah Nu'man

Department of Mathematics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research

Let G be a group with a finite presentation P = such that A is inverse- closed. Let f : N[1/4] → N[1/4] be a nondecreasing function. Loosely, f is an intrinsic tame filling function for (G;P) if for every word w over A* that represents the identity element in G, there exists a van Kampen diagram Δ for w over P and a continuous choice of paths from the basepoint * of Δ to points on the boundary of Δ such that the paths are steadily moving outward as measured by f. The isodiametric function (or intrinsic diameter function) …

Compiling Collapsing Rules In Certain Constructor Systems, Sergio Antoy, Andy Jost

Computer Science Faculty Publications and Presentations

The implementation of functional logic languages by means of graph rewriting requires a special handling of collapsing rules. Recent advances about the notion of a needed step in some constructor systems offer a new approach to this problem. We present two results: a transformation of a certain class of constructor-based rewrite systems that eliminates collapsing rules, and a rewrite-like relation that takes advantage of the absence of collapsing rules. We formally state and prove the correctness of these results. When used together, these results simplify without any loss of efficiency an implementation of graph rewriting and consequently of functional logic …

The Role Of Blowing Snow In The Activation Of Bromine Over First-Year Antarctic Sea Ice, R. M. Lieb-Lappen, R. W. Obbard

Dartmouth Scholarship

It is well known that during polar springtime halide sea salt ions, in particular Br^-, are photochemically activated into reactive halogen species (e.g., Br and BrO), where they break down tropospheric ozone. This research investigated the role of blowing snow in transporting salts from the sea ice/snow surface into reactive bromine species in the air. At two different locations over first-year ice in the Ross Sea, Antarctica, collection baskets captured blowing snow at different heights. In addition, sea ice cores and surface snow samples were collected throughout the month-long campaign. Over this time, sea ice and surface snow …

Augmenting Distance Education Skills Development In Paramedic Science Through Mixed Media Visualisation, Michael Cowling, Emma Moore, James Birt

James Birt

Extract: This paper presents a learning intervention using mixed media visualisation (3D printing and Augmented Reality simulation) to enhance skills development for paramedic science students studying through distance education. Presented is a research methodology to evaluate the effectiveness of the mixed media visualisation techniques to provide more hands-on skill practice to paramedic science students studying the course at a distance. The context for this study is the skills acquisition and retention, focusing on Laryngoscopy with foreign body removal.

On The Generalized Linear And Non-Linear Dfc In Non-Linear Dynamics, Dmitriy Dmitrishin, Anna Khamitova, Alexander M. Stokolos

Department of Mathematical Sciences Faculty Publications

The article is devoted to investigation of robust stability of the generalized linear control of the discrete autonomous dynamical systems. Sharp necessary conditions on the size of the set of multipliers that guaranty robust stabilization of the equilibrium of the system are provided. Surprisingly enough it turns out that the generalized linear delayed feedback control has same limitation as the classical Pyragas DFC. This generalized Ushio 1996 DFC limitation statement. Note that in scalar case a generalized non-linear control can robustly stabilize an equilibrium for any admissible range of multipliers. In the current article similar result is obtained in the …

Detection And Classification Of Malicious Javascript Via Attack Behavior Modelling, Yinxing Xue, Junjie Wang, Yang Liu, Hao Xiao, Jun Sun, Mahinthan Chandramohan

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Existing malicious JavaScript (JS) detection tools and commercial anti-virus tools mostly use feature-based or signature-based approaches to detect JS malware. These tools are weak in resistance to obfuscation and JS malware variants, not mentioning about providing detailed information of attack behaviors. Such limitations root in the incapability of capturing attack behaviors in these approches. In this paper, we propose to use Deterministic Finite Automaton (DFA) to abstract and summarize common behaviors of malicious JS of the same attack type. We propose an automatic behavior learning framework, named JS∗ , to learn DFA from dynamic execution traces of JS malware, where …

Microwave-Assisted Synthesis Of Ss-Amino Alcohols, Hinalbahen Sanket Desai

Master's Theses and Doctoral Dissertations

ß-amino alcohols are common substructures in many biologically active compounds and can also be used as catalysts for asymmetric reactions. One common method for forming these moieties is by ring opening of unsymmetrical epoxides using amines via a substitution reaction. However, the majority of these methods requires excess of reagents, inorganic initiators, and/or extended reaction times. We have developed an efficient, regioselective route to synthesize amino alcohols via microwave-assisted aminolysis of several hindered and unhindered epoxides using amine nucleophiles of varying strengths. Microwave reactions can be done without Lewis acids or promoters, even for the most hindered trisubstituted epoxides. In …

Automatic Fault Injection For Driver Robustness Testing, Kai Cong, Li Lei, Zhenkun Yang, Fei Xie

Computer Science Faculty Publications and Presentations

Robustness testing is a crucial stage in the device driver development cycle. To accelerate driver robustness testing, effective fault scenarios need to be generated and injected without requiring much time and human effort. In this pa- per, we present a practical approach to automatic runtime generation and injection of fault scenarios for driver robust- ness testing. We identify target functions that can fail from runtime execution traces, generate effective fault scenarios on these target functions using a bounded trace-based it- erative strategy, and inject the generated fault scenarios at runtime to test driver robustness using a permutation-based injection mechanism. We …

Naturally Occurring Background Levels Of Arsenic In The Soils Of Southwestern Oregon, Heather Ann Hurtado

Dissertations and Theses

This study examines the natural background concentrations of arsenic in the soils of southwest Oregon, using new samples in addition to data collected from previous theses (Khandoker, 1997 and Douglas, 1999). The original 213 samples were run by ICP-AES with a reporting limit of 20 ppm, and only three samples had detected values. The original samples were tested again (2013) at a lower reporting limit of 0.2 ppm by ICP-MS, as were 42 new samples (2013), to better ascertain the natural levels of arsenic in undisturbed soils. The aim is to add to the existing DEQ data set, which has …

Supermassive Black Hole Formation At High Redshifts Via Direct Collapse In A Cosmological Context, Jun-Hwan Choi, Isaac Shlosman, Mitchell C. Begelman

Physics and Astronomy Faculty Publications

We study the early stage of the formation of seed supermassive black holes via direct collapse in dark matter (DM) haloes, in the cosmological context. We perform high-resolution zoom-in simulations of such collapse at high z. Using the adaptive mesh refinement code enzo, we resolve the formation and growth of a DM halo, until its virial temperature reaches ∼10⁴ K, atomic cooling turns on, and collapse ensues. We demonstrate that direct collapse proceeds in two stages, although they are not well separated. The first stage is triggered by the onset of atomic cooling, and leads to rapidly increasing …

A Hydrogeological Approach To The Status Of Transboundary Ground Water Resources Under International Law [Abstract], Gabriel Eckstein, Yoram Eckstein

Gabriel Eckstein

2 pages. Contains footnotes.

Shooting For The Sky: Martin Tengler Is Part Of A Team That Wants To Use Drones To Plant A Billion Trees A Year, Gerry Boyle

Colby Magazine

Martin Tengler '12 can picture a time when aerial drones fan out to map vast reaches of deforested land and then plant thousands of seed pods that will turn wasteland into new forest.

Extragalactic Explorers: Professors Elizabeth Mcgrath And Dale Kocevski Divine The Mysteries Of The Universe, Gerry Boyle

Colby Magazine

From their offices on the fourth floor of the Mudd Science Building, Elizabeth McGrath and Dale Kocevski enjoy a view that takes in the terraced lawn of the academic quad, the rooftops of Lovejoy and Cotter Union- and distant galaxies as they appeared when the universe was young.

Secondary Organic Aerosol Formation From The Β-Pinene+No3 System: Effect Of Humidity And Peroxy Radical Fate, C. M. Boyd, J. Sanchez, L. Xu, Alexis J. Eugene, T. Nah, W. Y. Tuet, Marcelo I. Guzman, N. L. Ng

Chemistry Faculty Publications

The formation of secondary organic aerosol (SOA) from the oxidation of β-pinene via nitrate radicals is investigated in the Georgia Tech Environmental Chamber (GTEC) facility. Aerosol yields are determined for experiments performed under both dry (relative humidity (RH) < 2 %) and humid (RH = 50 % and RH = 70 %) conditions. To probe the effects of peroxy radical (RO₂) fate on aerosol formation, "RO₂ + NO₃ dominant" and "RO₂ + HO₂ dominant" experiments are performed. Gas-phase organic nitrate species (with molecular weights of 215, 229, 231, and 245 amu, which likely correspond to molecular formulas of C₁₀H₁₇NO₄, C₁₀H₁₅NO₅, C₁₀H₁₇NO …

Temporal Overlap And Co-Occurrence In A Guild Of Sub-Tropical Tephritid Fruit Flies, Gleidyane N. Lopes, Miguel F. Souza-Filho, Nicholas J. Gotelli, Leandro J.U. Lemos, Wesley A.C. Godoy, Roberto A. Zucchi

College of Arts and Sciences Faculty Publications

Studies of community assembly have emphasized snapshot comparisons of spatially replicated samples from "natural" assemblages. Agro-ecosystems are characterized by relatively little habitat heterogeneity and no dispersal barriers for actively flying insects. Therefore, dynamic patterns of species segregation and aggregation are more likely to reflect the direct or indirect effects of species interactions. We studied the temporal organization of a guild of 21 congeneric species of Anastrepha that colonized fruit orchards in Monte Alegre do Sul, São Paulo, Brazil. This assemblage also included the introduced Mediterranean fruit fly Ceratitis capitata. One hundred six consecutive weekly censuses (11 Jan 2002-16 Jan 2004) …

Mini-Ises Identifies Promising Carbafructopyranose-Based Salens For Asymmetric Catalysis: Tuning Ligand Shape Via The Anomeric Effect, Kannan R. Karukurichi, Xiang Fei, Robert A. Swyka, Sylvain Broussy, Weijun Shen, Sangeeta Dey, Sandip K. Roy, David B. Berkowitz

David Berkowitz Publications

This study introduces new methods of screening for and tuning chiral space and in so doing identifies a promising set of chiral ligands for asymmetric synthesis. The carbafructopyranosyl-1,2-diamine(s) and salens constructed therefrom are particularly compelling. It is shown that by removing the native anomeric effect in this ligand family, one can tune chiral ligand shape and improve chiral bias. This concept is demonstrated by a combination of (i) x-ray crystallographic structure determination, (ii) assessment of catalytic performance, and (iii) consideration of the anomeric effect and its underlying dipolar basis. The title ligands were identified by a new mini version of …

The Role Of Damage And Recrystallization In The Elastic Properties Of Columnar Ice, Scott A. Snyder, Erland M. Schulson, Carl E. Renshaw

Dartmouth Scholarship

Effects of damage on elastic properties were studied in columnar-grained specimens of freshwater and saline ice, subjected, at −10°C, to varying levels of inelastic strain. The ice was compressed uniaxially at constant strain rates up to 0.20 strain, which caused localized recrystallization and imparted damage in the form of non-propagating cracks. Damage was quantified in terms of dimensionless crack density, which, along with recrystallized area fraction, was determined from thin sections. The change in porosity due to stress-induced cracks served as another indicator of damage. Elastic properties were derived using P-wave and S-wave ultrasonic transmission velocities measured in across-column directions …